İtalya U21 4-0 İsveç U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 10 Oct 2025

İtalya U21
4-0 HT 3-0
İsveç U21
📅10/10/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
European U21 – 2027

İtalya U21 vs İsveç U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
27%
3.14
6+ Goals
9%
10.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
+0.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.0pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.2pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İtalya U21 v İsveç U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İtalya U21 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY İsveç U21 EU Bookmakers 23%
+11% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.50/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/2.35
-19% / +102% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
447 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
14.5 Crosses 12.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0

İtalya U21 vs İsveç U21 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İtalya U21
2W-2D-2L
AWAY İsveç U21
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.22 xG 1.31
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
424 Passes 278
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
36 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
09.06.2022 İsveç U21 İsveç U21 1-1 HT 1-0 İtalya U21 İtalya U21 U21
12.10.2021 İtalya U21 İtalya U21 1-1 HT 1-0 İsveç U21 İsveç U21 U21
18.11.2020 İtalya U21 İtalya U21 4-1 HT 1-0 İsveç U21 İsveç U21 U21
08.09.2020 İsveç U21 İsveç U21 3-0 HT 2-0 İtalya U21 İtalya U21 U21
18.06.2015 İtalya U21 İtalya U21 1-2 HT 1-0 İsveç U21 İsveç U21 U21
16.10.2012 İsveç U21 İsveç U21 2-3 HT 0-0 İtalya U21 İtalya U21 U21

İtalya U21 4-0 İsveç U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İtalya U21
4-0
AWAY İsveç U21
3.79 xG 1.07
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
372 Passes 340
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
35 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İtalya U21 vs İsveç U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İtalya U21 swept aside İsveç U21 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had İtalya U21 as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İtalya U21 had 53% of the ball to İsveç U21's 47%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 3.79 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for İtalya U21 and 1.67 for İsveç U21.

What was the final score of İtalya U21 vs İsveç U21?

İtalya U21 4-0 İsveç U21 in the European U21 on 10/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İtalya U21 vs İsveç U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a İtalya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split İtalya U21 57%, draw 22%, İsveç U21 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İtalya U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İtalya U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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