Thun 1-2 Grasshoppers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League Playoff / Out, 31 May 2024

Thun
1-2 HT 1-1
Grasshoppers
📅31/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Switzerland - Super League Playoff / Out – 2023/2024

Thun vs Grasshoppers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.95
Over 2.5
58%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.37
6+ Goals
15%
12.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.21
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.4
X/1
16%
5.02
X/2
16%
6.05
X/X
9%
4.91
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
13%
4.16
2/X
9%
13.5
Value flag · 1/X at 13.4 — our 10% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.8pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.7pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Thun v Grasshoppers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thun EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Grasshoppers EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
394 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Thun vs Grasshoppers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thun
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Grasshoppers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.05.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 1-1 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSVP
18.09.2021 Thun Thun 1-0 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSVK
23.04.2021 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 3-1 HT 1-1 Thun Thun İSV2
12.02.2021 Thun Thun 0-2 HT 0-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV2
11.12.2020 Thun Thun 3-1 HT 1-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV2
02.11.2020 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 1-1 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV2

Thun 1-2 Grasshoppers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thun
1-2
AWAY Grasshoppers
2.89 xG 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
274 Passes 294
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Thun vs Grasshoppers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grasshoppers squeezed past Thun 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Grasshoppers found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Thun had 48% of the ball to Grasshoppers's 52%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 2.89 to 1.33 — on chances, Thun could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Thun and 1.33 for Grasshoppers.

What was the final score of Thun vs Grasshoppers?

Thun 1-2 Grasshoppers in the Switzerland - Super League Playoff / Out on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thun vs Grasshoppers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Thun 37%, draw 29%, Grasshoppers 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thun) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thun) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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