Heidelberg United 2-0 Dandenong Thunder — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 31 May 2024

Heidelberg United
2-0 HT 2-0
Dandenong Thunder
📅31/05/2024 · 🕒12:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Heidelberg United vs Dandenong Thunder Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.63
Over 2.5
66%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-7.4pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.1pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.3pp
34%
Under 2.5
34%
+0.2pp
66%
Over 2.5
66%
-0.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.3pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heidelberg United v Dandenong Thunder — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heidelberg United EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Dandenong Thunder EU Bookmakers 22%
-21% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -9%
1.66/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.56
-33% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.7 Crosses 19.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Heidelberg United vs Dandenong Thunder Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heidelberg United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Dandenong Thunder
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
232 Passes 308
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
10 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.02.2024 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 0-2 HT 0-1 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
20.05.2023 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 2-1 HT 0-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
17.02.2023 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 0-1 HT 0-1 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
28.05.2022 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 1-2 HT 0-2 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
27.02.2022 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 0-4 HT 0-2 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
01.05.2021 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 1-2 HT 1-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Heidelberg United vs Dandenong Thunder
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heidelberg United saw off Dandenong Thunder 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Heidelberg United as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Heidelberg United and 1.50 for Dandenong Thunder.

What was the final score of Heidelberg United vs Dandenong Thunder?

Heidelberg United 2-0 Dandenong Thunder in the Australia - National Premier League on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heidelberg United vs Dandenong Thunder?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heidelberg United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Heidelberg United 54%, draw 23%, Dandenong Thunder 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heidelberg United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Heidelberg United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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