Dandenong Thunder 0-2 Heidelberg United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 24 Feb 2024

Dandenong Thunder
0-2 HT 0-1
Heidelberg United
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Dandenong Thunder vs Heidelberg United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.46
No
53%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
64%
-17.3pp
53%
BTTS No
36%
+17.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dandenong Thunder v Heidelberg United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dandenong Thunder EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Heidelberg United EU Bookmakers 49%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.91/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.52
+2% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.9 Crosses 12.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0

Dandenong Thunder vs Heidelberg United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dandenong Thunder
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Heidelberg United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
308 Passes 232
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.05.2023 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 2-1 HT 0-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
17.02.2023 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 0-1 HT 0-1 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
28.05.2022 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 1-2 HT 0-2 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
27.02.2022 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 0-4 HT 0-2 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
01.05.2021 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 1-2 HT 1-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
14.09.2014 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 0-1 HT 0-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
POST-MATCH Dandenong Thunder vs Heidelberg United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heidelberg United beat Dandenong Thunder 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Heidelberg United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dandenong Thunder had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dandenong Thunder and 0.83 for Heidelberg United.

What was the final score of Dandenong Thunder vs Heidelberg United?

Dandenong Thunder 0-2 Heidelberg United in the Australia - National Premier League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dandenong Thunder vs Heidelberg United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Heidelberg United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dandenong Thunder 32%, draw 23%, Heidelberg United 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heidelberg United), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Heidelberg United) ✓ BTTS No
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