Avustralya (K) 1-1 Çin (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 31 May 2024

Avustralya (K)
1-1 HT 0-1
Çin (K)
📅31/05/2024 · 🕒13:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2024

Avustralya (K) vs Çin (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
33%
4.19
Away
12%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.88
No
40%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.6pp
34%
Draw
21%
+12.7pp
12%
Away Win
13%
-1.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
49%
+11.2pp
40%
BTTS No
51%
-11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Avustralya (K) v Çin (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avustralya (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Çin (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -22%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
407 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.4
– Crosses 10.6
– Yellow Cards 1.9

Avustralya (K) vs Çin (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avustralya (K)
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Çin (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
368 Passes 215
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.03.2018 Avustralya (K) Avustralya (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Çin (K) Çin (K) Dünya - Kadınlar Algarve Kupası
26.11.2017 Avustralya (K) Avustralya (K) 5-1 HT 3-1 Çin (K) Çin (K) HAZ
22.11.2017 Avustralya (K) Avustralya (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 Çin (K) Çin (K) HAZ
06.03.2017 Çin (K) Çin (K) 1-2 HT 1-0 Avustralya (K) Avustralya (K) Dünya - Kadınlar Algarve Kupası

Avustralya (K) 1-1 Çin (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avustralya (K)
1-1
AWAY Çin (K)
0.74 xG 0.44
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
463 Passes 302
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Avustralya (K) vs Çin (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avustralya (K) and Çin (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Avustralya (K) carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Avustralya (K) had 58% of the ball to Çin (K)'s 42%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 0.74 to 0.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Avustralya (K) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Avustralya (K) and 0.50 for Çin (K).

What was the final score of Avustralya (K) vs Çin (K)?

Avustralya (K) 1-1 Çin (K) in the Friendlies on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avustralya (K) vs Çin (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avustralya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Avustralya (K) 55%, draw 34%, Çin (K) 12%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Avustralya (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Avustralya (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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