Roma vs Milan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Roma v Milan — Team-Based Signals
Roma vs Milan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Milan
İTA
1-1
HT 0-0
Milan
İTA
2-2
HT 1-0
Roma
İTA
Roma 5-2 Milan — Actual Match Statistics
Roma swept aside Milan 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Roma made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Roma had 54% of the ball to Milan's 46%, shots finished 19-24, expected goals 1.38 to 1.24.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Roma and 1.50 for Milan.
What was the final score of Roma vs Milan?
Roma 5-2 Milan in the Friendlies on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Roma vs Milan?
Before kick-off our model rated an Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Roma 34%, draw 27%, Milan 38%. The final score 5-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.