Milan vs Roma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Milan v Roma — Team-Based Signals
Milan vs Roma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Milan
İTA
1-1
HT 0-0
Milan
İTA
2-2
HT 1-0
Roma
İTA
3-1
HT 2-1
Roma
İTA
1-2
HT 0-1
Milan
İTA
Milan 0-1 Roma — Actual Match Statistics
Roma nicked a narrow win over Milan 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Milan at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Milan had 53% of the ball to Roma's 47%, shots finished 25-10, expected goals 1.61 to 0.62 — the balance of chances actually favoured Milan.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milan had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Milan and 1.17 for Roma.
What was the final score of Milan vs Roma?
Milan 0-1 Roma in the UEFA Europa League on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Milan vs Roma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Milan 44%, draw 28%, Roma 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.