Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 West Ham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 11 Apr 2024

Bayer Leverkusen
2-0 HT 0-0
West Ham United
📅11/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
UEFA Europa League – 2023/2024

Bayer Leverkusen vs West Ham United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.58
2-3 Goals
35%
1.9
4-5 Goals
29%
2.88
6+ Goals
13%
8.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.72
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.75
X/1
17%
3.68
X/2
8%
14.2
X/X
10%
6.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.35
2/2
8%
10.7
2/X
7%
18.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.35 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-11.4pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.5pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+7.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.6pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayer Leverkusen v West Ham United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayer Leverkusen EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY West Ham United EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
1.88/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.26
+30% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +93%
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
491 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 69%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
18.5 Crosses 18.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0

Bayer Leverkusen vs West Ham United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayer Leverkusen
1W-0D-0L
AWAY West Ham United
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
The Meetings
05.08.2023 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 4-0 HT 3-0 West Ham United West Ham United HAZ

Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 West Ham United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayer Leverkusen
2-0
AWAY West Ham United
2.41 xG 0.20
73% Ball Possession 27%
33 Total Shots 1
13 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
674 Passes 204
91% Pass Accuracy 73%
78 Box Touches 7
26 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bayer Leverkusen vs West Ham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayer Leverkusen beat West Ham United 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bayer Leverkusen as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bayer Leverkusen had 73% of the ball to West Ham United's 27%, shots finished 33-1, expected goals 2.41 to 0.20.

What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen vs West Ham United?

Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 West Ham United in the UEFA Europa League on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen vs West Ham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen 54%, draw 23%, West Ham United 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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