Benfica vs Marsilya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Benfica v Marsilya — Team-Based Signals
Benfica vs Marsilya Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Marsilya
HAZ
1-2
HT 0-0
Benfica
AVL
1-1
HT 0-0
Marsilya
AVL
Benfica 2-1 Marsilya — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica squeezed past Marsilya 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Benfica had 57% of the ball to Marsilya's 43%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.04 to 0.87.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Benfica had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Benfica and 1.00 for Marsilya.
What was the final score of Benfica vs Marsilya?
Benfica 2-1 Marsilya in the UEFA Europa League on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Benfica vs Marsilya?
Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Benfica 50%, draw 25%, Marsilya 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.