Milan vs Roma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Milan v Roma — Team-Based Signals
Milan vs Roma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Milan
İTA
1-1
HT 0-0
Milan
İTA
2-2
HT 1-0
Roma
İTA
3-1
HT 2-1
Roma
İTA
1-2
HT 0-1
Milan
İTA
1-2
HT 0-1
Milan
İTA
Milan 3-1 Roma — Actual Match Statistics
Milan saw off Roma 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Milan as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Milan had 48% of the ball to Roma's 52%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.49 to 1.40.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milan had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Milan and 1.17 for Roma.
What was the final score of Milan vs Roma?
Milan 3-1 Roma in the Italy - Serie A on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Milan vs Roma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Milan 49%, draw 24%, Roma 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.