Cagliari vs Bologna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cagliari v Bologna — Team-Based Signals
Cagliari vs Bologna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Cagliari
İTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Cagliari
İTK
2-1
HT 0-0
Bologna
İTA
2-0
HT 0-0
Cagliari
İTA
1-0
HT 1-0
Bologna
İTA
3-2
HT 1-1
Cagliari
İTA
Cagliari 2-1 Bologna — Actual Match Statistics
Cagliari squeezed past Bologna 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Cagliari found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cagliari had 36% of the ball to Bologna's 64%, shots finished 5-11, expected goals 0.68 to 0.59.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cagliari and 1.50 for Bologna.
What was the final score of Cagliari vs Bologna?
Cagliari 2-1 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cagliari vs Bologna?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cagliari 36%, draw 27%, Bologna 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.