Roma vs Milan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Roma v Milan — Team-Based Signals
Roma vs Milan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Milan
İTA
1-1
HT 0-0
Milan
İTA
2-2
HT 1-0
Roma
İTA
3-1
HT 2-1
Roma
İTA
Roma 2-1 Milan — Actual Match Statistics
Roma squeezed past Milan 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match split (37% / 22% / 41%) promised a tight game; Roma found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Roma had 36% of the ball to Milan's 64%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 1.47 to 0.98.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Roma and 1.83 for Milan.
What was the final score of Roma vs Milan?
Roma 2-1 Milan in the UEFA Europa League on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Roma vs Milan?
Before kick-off our model rated an Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Roma 37%, draw 22%, Milan 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.