Marsilya vs Benfica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marsilya v Benfica — Team-Based Signals
Marsilya vs Benfica Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Marsilya
HAZ
1-2
HT 0-0
Benfica
AVL
1-1
HT 0-0
Marsilya
AVL
Marsilya 1-0 Benfica — Actual Match Statistics
Marsilya nicked a narrow win over Benfica 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Marsilya made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Marsilya had 54% of the ball to Benfica's 46%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.66 to 1.33.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Benfica led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marsilya and 1.50 for Benfica.
What was the final score of Marsilya vs Benfica?
Marsilya 1-0 Benfica in the UEFA Europa League on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marsilya vs Benfica?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marsilya win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Marsilya 36%, draw 28%, Benfica 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsilya) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.