Almanya (K) 4-1 Polonya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 31 May 2024

📅31/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.16
Draw
19%
7.78
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.68
Over 2.5
64%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.09
No
46%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
82%
-18.1pp
19%
Draw
10%
+8.5pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+9.6pp
36%
Under 2.5
24%
+12.7pp
64%
Over 2.5
76%
-12.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
44%
+10.5pp
46%
BTTS No
56%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almanya (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonya (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+27% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
502 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
60.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
36.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almanya (K)
4-1
AWAY Polonya (K)
4.48 xG 1.17
64% Ball Possession 36%
34 Total Shots 7
13 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 1
375 Passes 178
82% Pass Accuracy 66%
75 Box Touches 9
46 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Almanya (K) vs Polonya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almanya (K) cruised past Polonya (K) 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Almanya (K) as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Almanya (K) had 64% of the ball to Polonya (K)'s 36%, shots finished 34-7, expected goals 4.48 to 1.17.

What was the final score of Almanya (K) vs Polonya (K)?

Almanya (K) 4-1 Polonya (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almanya (K) vs Polonya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almanya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Almanya (K) 64%, draw 19%, Polonya (K) 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almanya (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Almanya (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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