Estonya (K) 1-2 Arnavutluk (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 31 May 2024

📅31/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.33
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
22%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
39%
+5.8pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.5pp
22%
Away Win
34%
-11.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estonya (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Arnavutluk (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estonya (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Arnavutluk (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
09.04.2024 Arnavutluk (K) Arnavutluk (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Estonya (K) Estonya (K) KAVŞE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estonya (K)
1-2
AWAY Arnavutluk (K)
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Estonya (K) vs Arnavutluk (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arnavutluk (K) squeezed past Estonya (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Estonya (K) at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estonya (K) had 41% of the ball to Arnavutluk (K)'s 59%, shots finished 10-23.

What was the final score of Estonya (K) vs Arnavutluk (K)?

Estonya (K) 1-2 Arnavutluk (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estonya (K) vs Arnavutluk (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estonya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Estonya (K) 45%, draw 33%, Arnavutluk (K) 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Estonya (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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