Hollanda (K) 1-0 Finlandiya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 31 May 2024

📅31/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.3
Draw
19%
5.15
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.61
Over 2.5
50%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
72%
-6.7pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.0pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+3.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
35%
+15.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
65%
-15.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.5pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hollanda (K) EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Finlandiya (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
0.41/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.02
-60% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -42%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
480 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 77%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
15.0 Crosses 19.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hollanda (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Finlandiya (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.74 xG 0.71
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
424 Passes 356
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.07.2022 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Finlandiya (K) Finlandiya (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hollanda (K)
1-0
AWAY Finlandiya (K)
0.65 xG 0.19
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
413 Passes 256
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
46 Box Touches 7
32 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hollanda (K) vs Finlandiya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hollanda (K) edged past Finlandiya (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hollanda (K) as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hollanda (K) had 60% of the ball to Finlandiya (K)'s 40%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.65 to 0.19.

What was the final score of Hollanda (K) vs Finlandiya (K)?

Hollanda (K) 1-0 Finlandiya (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hollanda (K) vs Finlandiya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hollanda (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Hollanda (K) 66%, draw 19%, Finlandiya (K) 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hollanda (K)), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hollanda (K)) ✓ BTTS No
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