Kuzey Makedonya (K) 1-1 Moldova (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 31 May 2024

📅31/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-10.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+5.0pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.8pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kuzey Makedonya (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Moldova (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kuzey Makedonya (K)
1-1
AWAY Moldova (K)
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kuzey Makedonya (K) vs Moldova (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kuzey Makedonya (K) and Moldova (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kuzey Makedonya (K) at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kuzey Makedonya (K) had 62% of the ball to Moldova (K)'s 38%, shots finished 19-9.

What was the final score of Kuzey Makedonya (K) vs Moldova (K)?

Kuzey Makedonya (K) 1-1 Moldova (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kuzey Makedonya (K) vs Moldova (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kuzey Makedonya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kuzey Makedonya (K) 43%, draw 28%, Moldova (K) 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kuzey Makedonya (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kuzey Makedonya (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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