FK Dainava Alytus 0-2 Hegelmann Litauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 31 May 2024

FK Dainava Alytus
0-2 HT 0-1
Hegelmann Litauen
📅31/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2024

FK Dainava Alytus vs Hegelmann Litauen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
49%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+2.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
49%
Away Win
50%
-0.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.1pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FK Dainava Alytus v Hegelmann Litauen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 54%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.91/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/0.47
-15% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +89%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
257 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5

FK Dainava Alytus vs Hegelmann Litauen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Dainava Alytus
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.04.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
26.08.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-2 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
24.06.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
23.04.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-0 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
04.03.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 3-0 HT 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
02.10.2021 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-1 HT 1-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
POST-MATCH FK Dainava Alytus vs Hegelmann Litauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen got the better of FK Dainava Alytus 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hegelmann Litauen as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FK Dainava Alytus and 1.00 for Hegelmann Litauen.

What was the final score of FK Dainava Alytus vs Hegelmann Litauen?

FK Dainava Alytus 0-2 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Dainava Alytus vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FK Dainava Alytus 26%, draw 25%, Hegelmann Litauen 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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