Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 1-1 El Gounah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Cup, 31 May 2024

📅31/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.47
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
27%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.2
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
5.66
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
36%
+9.7pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.5pp
27%
Away Win
33%
-6.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.3pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY El Gounah EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -56% / -56%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +66%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
0W-0D-1L
AWAY El Gounah
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.92 xG 1.92
63% Ball Possession 37%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
341 Passes 178
73% Pass Accuracy 64%
15 Box Touches 7
22 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2024 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 1-2 HT 1-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
1-1
AWAY El Gounah
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs El Gounah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla and El Gounah couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Baladiyyat Al Mehalla at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla had 58% of the ball to El Gounah's 42%, shots finished 7-7.

What was the final score of Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs El Gounah?

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 1-1 El Gounah in the Egypt - Cup on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs El Gounah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baladiyyat Al Mehalla win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 46%, draw 27%, El Gounah 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Baladiyyat Al Mehalla), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baladiyyat Al Mehalla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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