Arizona Arsenal 3-3 Tucson — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 31 May 2024

📅31/05/2024 · 🕒05:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.65
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
50%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.96
Over
53%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.5
No Pick
55%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
44%
4-5
22%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
30%
Home Win
18%
+12.0pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.5pp
50%
Away Win
64%
-13.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
30%
+16.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
70%
-17.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
62%
-17.2pp
55%
BTTS No
38%
+17.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arizona Arsenal The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Tucson The Market 69%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-31% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
239 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arizona Arsenal
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tucson
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
16.07.2023 Tucson 5-1 HT 2-0 Arizona Arsenal Arizona Arsenal USL2
POST-MATCH Arizona Arsenal vs Tucson
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arizona Arsenal and Tucson couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Tucson at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Arizona Arsenal vs Tucson?

Arizona Arsenal 3-3 Tucson in the USA - USL League 2 on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arizona Arsenal vs Tucson?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tucson win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Arizona Arsenal 30%, draw 20%, Tucson 50%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Tucson), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tucson) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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