River Light 1-0 Des Moines Menace — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 31 May 2024

📅31/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.48
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
53%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
3.17
Over Pick
65%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.39
No
38%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
40%
4-5
27%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
27%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
27%
Home Win
19%
+8.2pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.1pp
53%
Away Win
61%
-8.4pp
35%
Under 2.5
28%
+7.1pp
65%
Over 2.5
72%
-7.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.9pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME River Light The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Des Moines Menace The Market 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -83% / -83%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -59%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
284 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH River Light vs Des Moines Menace
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Light nicked a narrow win over Des Moines Menace 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Des Moines Menace at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of River Light vs Des Moines Menace?

River Light 1-0 Des Moines Menace in the USA - USL League 2 on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for River Light vs Des Moines Menace?

Before kick-off our model rated an Des Moines Menace win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split River Light 27%, draw 20%, Des Moines Menace 53%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Des Moines Menace) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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