Gimnastic Tarragona 1-1 Real Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 31 May 2025

📅31/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.15
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
5.3
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+3.7pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.6pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +19%
1.49/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.93
+17% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Real Murcia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
11.02.2023 Real Murcia Real Murcia 2-0 HT 2-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
09.10.2022 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 3-2 HT 1-1 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
20.05.2012 Real Murcia Real Murcia 2-2 HT 0-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS2
07.01.2012 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS2
31.01.2010 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 2-3 HT 2-1 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS2
30.08.2009 Real Murcia Real Murcia 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
1-1
AWAY Real Murcia
65% Ball Possession 35%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gimnastic Tarragona vs Real Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastic Tarragona and Real Murcia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gimnastic Tarragona at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gimnastic Tarragona had 65% of the ball to Real Murcia's 35%, shots finished 9-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Murcia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gimnastic Tarragona and 1.83 for Real Murcia.

What was the final score of Gimnastic Tarragona vs Real Murcia?

Gimnastic Tarragona 1-1 Real Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastic Tarragona vs Real Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnastic Tarragona win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gimnastic Tarragona 45%, draw 24%, Real Murcia 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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