Ceuta 4-3 Cultural Leonesa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 31 May 2025

📅31/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.89
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.73
6+ Goals
9%
16.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.4pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceuta EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cultural Leonesa EU Bookmakers 29%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.89/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.39
+37% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 12.0
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceuta
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Cultural Leonesa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.05.2025 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 2-2 HT 2-1 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
22.01.2023 Ceuta Ceuta 2-1 HT 1-0 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS3
04.09.2022 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 2-0 HT 1-0 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
POST-MATCH Ceuta vs Cultural Leonesa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceuta squeezed past Cultural Leonesa 4-3. It was 1-3 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ceuta as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ceuta and 1.67 for Cultural Leonesa.

What was the final score of Ceuta vs Cultural Leonesa?

Ceuta 4-3 Cultural Leonesa in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceuta vs Cultural Leonesa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceuta win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ceuta 41%, draw 31%, Cultural Leonesa 28%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceuta), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ceuta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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