Dinamo Minsk 1-0 Naftan Novopolotsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 31 May 2025

📅31/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.28
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
19%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.0
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
74%
-14.9pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.4pp
19%
Away Win
9%
+10.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.0pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Minsk EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk EU Bookmakers 11%
+2% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
2.24/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.36
+5% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
465 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Minsk
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 2-2 HT 1-2 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
02.09.2023 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 0-3 HT 0-2 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
22.04.2023 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 3-1 HT 1-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
26.09.2015 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 2-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
31.05.2015 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 2-1 HT 0-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
05.10.2014 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 2-0 HT 0-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Minsk
1-0
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dinamo Minsk vs Naftan Novopolotsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Minsk edged past Naftan Novopolotsk 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dinamo Minsk as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dinamo Minsk had 53% of the ball to Naftan Novopolotsk's 47%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Minsk had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Dinamo Minsk and 1.00 for Naftan Novopolotsk.

What was the final score of Dinamo Minsk vs Naftan Novopolotsk?

Dinamo Minsk 1-0 Naftan Novopolotsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Minsk vs Naftan Novopolotsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Minsk 59%, draw 22%, Naftan Novopolotsk 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Minsk) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Minsk) ✗ Over 2.5
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