Macara 2-2 Manta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 31 May 2025

Macara
2-2 HT 0-0
Manta
📅31/05/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.3pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macara EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Manta EU Bookmakers 18%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.22/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.20
-27% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 70%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
21.8 Crosses 13.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macara
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Manta
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.99 xG 0.63
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
264 Passes 268
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
10 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2023 Macara Macara 1-3 HT 1-1 Manta Manta EKV2
31.08.2023 Manta Manta 1-1 HT 1-0 Macara Macara EKV2
16.06.2023 Manta Manta 3-1 HT 1-0 Macara Macara EKV2
19.04.2023 Macara Macara 2-0 HT 2-0 Manta Manta EKV2
31.10.2021 Macara Macara 1-2 HT 1-1 Manta Manta EKV1
16.05.2021 Manta Manta 1-1 HT 0-1 Macara Macara EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macara
2-2
AWAY Manta
0.75 xG 1.09
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
202 Passes 227
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Macara vs Manta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macara and Manta couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Macara at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Macara had 47% of the ball to Manta's 53%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.75 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manta led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Macara and 1.67 for Manta.

What was the final score of Macara vs Manta?

Macara 2-2 Manta in the Ecuador - Premier on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macara vs Manta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Macara 53%, draw 25%, Manta 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Macara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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