LDU Quito 3-2 Tecnico Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 31 May 2025

📅31/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+11.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.5pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 18%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -7%
1.61/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.49
-4% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
352 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 74%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
22.3 Crosses 12.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LDU Quito
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.69 xG 1.08
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
396 Passes 180
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 4
19.10.2024 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-2 HT 0-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
28.04.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-0 HT 1-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
09.11.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 0-2 HT 0-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
20.05.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-1 HT 1-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
31.07.2022 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
13.03.2022 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-2 HT 0-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Quito
3-2
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
1.83 xG 0.41
78% Ball Possession 22%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
498 Passes 92
89% Pass Accuracy 58%
31 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH LDU Quito vs Tecnico Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito edged past Tecnico Universitario 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, LDU Quito had 78% of the ball to Tecnico Universitario's 22%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.83 to 0.41 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold LDU Quito's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for LDU Quito and 0.50 for Tecnico Universitario.

What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Tecnico Universitario?

LDU Quito 3-2 Tecnico Universitario in the Ecuador - Premier on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Tecnico Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 51%, draw 23%, Tecnico Universitario 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito)
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