Hutnik Krakow 4-2 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 31 May 2025

📅31/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.89
Over 2.5
54%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.38
No
47%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.38
2-3 Goals
38%
2.12
4-5 Goals
30%
2.42
6+ Goals
9%
4.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.8pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
31%
+14.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
69%
-14.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
68%
-15.3pp
47%
BTTS No
32%
+15.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hutnik Krakow EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.37/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.29
+1% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hutnik Krakow
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1-1 HT 0-1 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
26.03.2022 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow 1-0 HT 0-0 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki POL2
11.09.2021 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 2-1 HT 0-1 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hutnik Krakow
4-2
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 8
14 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hutnik Krakow vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hutnik Krakow got the better of Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Hutnik Krakow found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hutnik Krakow had 44% of the ball to Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki's 56%, shots finished 19-17.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hutnik Krakow and 1.00 for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki.

What was the final score of Hutnik Krakow vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?

Hutnik Krakow 4-2 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki in the Poland - 2nd Division on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hutnik Krakow vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hutnik Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Hutnik Krakow 36%, draw 28%, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 36%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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