Plaza Colonia 1-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 31 May 2025

📅31/05/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.0pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plaza Colonia EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 46%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
1.10/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.97
+1% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
254 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plaza Colonia
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2025 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 HT 0-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
15.11.2023 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 0-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
15.07.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-2 HT 1-2 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
10.04.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-1 HT 1-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
01.10.2022 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 1-3 HT 1-2 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
07.05.2022 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 HT 1-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plaza Colonia
1-1
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Plaza Colonia vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plaza Colonia and Liverpool FC (Montevideo) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Liverpool FC (Montevideo) at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Plaza Colonia had 32% of the ball to Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s 68%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Plaza Colonia and 1.67 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).

What was the final score of Plaza Colonia vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Plaza Colonia 1-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plaza Colonia vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Plaza Colonia 29%, draw 31%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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31 May 2025
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