Progreso vs Danubio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progreso v Danubio — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs Danubio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-0
Danubio
URUK
0-1
HT 0-1
Progreso
URU
1-0
HT 1-0
Danubio
URU
Progreso 0-1 Danubio — Actual Match Statistics
Danubio squeezed past Progreso 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Danubio as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Progreso had 53% of the ball to Danubio's 47%, shots finished 8-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Progreso had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Progreso and 0.67 for Danubio.
What was the final score of Progreso vs Danubio?
Progreso 0-1 Danubio in the Uruguay - Premier League on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progreso vs Danubio?
Before kick-off our model rated an Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Progreso 29%, draw 28%, Danubio 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Danubio), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.