Progreso 0-0 Danubio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.7pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Progreso EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Danubio EU Bookmakers 46%
+11% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.63/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.29
+43% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Progreso
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Danubio
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
06.04.2024 Danubio Danubio 1-1 HT 1-0 Progreso Progreso URU
31.08.2022 Progreso Progreso 2-2 HT 2-0 Danubio Danubio URUK
15.02.2021 Danubio Danubio 0-1 HT 0-1 Progreso Progreso URU
22.08.2020 Progreso Progreso 1-0 HT 1-0 Danubio Danubio URU
19.10.2019 Progreso Progreso 2-1 HT 0-1 Danubio Danubio URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Progreso
0-0
AWAY Danubio
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Progreso vs Danubio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Progreso and Danubio fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Danubio at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Progreso had 48% of the ball to Danubio's 52%, shots finished 8-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Progreso had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Progreso and 0.80 for Danubio.

What was the final score of Progreso vs Danubio?

Progreso 0-0 Danubio in the Uruguay - Premier League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Progreso vs Danubio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Progreso 29%, draw 29%, Danubio 42%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Danubio), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Danubio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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