Defensor Sporting 1-2 Boston River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.5pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston River EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.45/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.28
+15% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensor Sporting
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Boston River
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Boston River Boston River 2-2 HT 0-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
21.11.2023 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-0 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
09.07.2023 Boston River Boston River 0-1 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
16.04.2023 Boston River Boston River 1-0 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
21.08.2022 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 0-1 HT 0-1 Boston River Boston River URU
10.07.2022 Boston River Boston River 2-3 HT 0-2 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensor Sporting
1-2
AWAY Boston River
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Defensor Sporting vs Boston River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston River nicked a narrow win over Defensor Sporting 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Defensor Sporting at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Defensor Sporting had 62% of the ball to Boston River's 38%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Defensor Sporting and 1.00 for Boston River.

What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs Boston River?

Defensor Sporting 1-2 Boston River in the Uruguay - Premier League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensor Sporting vs Boston River?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 41%, draw 30%, Boston River 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Defensor Sporting) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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