Boston River 2-2 Defensor Sporting — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston River EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -7%
1.15/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.91
+1% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +15%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
276 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston River
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Defensor Sporting
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.11.2023 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-0 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
09.07.2023 Boston River Boston River 0-1 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
16.04.2023 Boston River Boston River 1-0 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
21.08.2022 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 0-1 HT 0-1 Boston River Boston River URU
10.07.2022 Boston River Boston River 2-3 HT 0-2 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
22.03.2022 Boston River Boston River 1-1 HT 1-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
POST-MATCH Boston River vs Defensor Sporting
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston River and Defensor Sporting shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Defensor Sporting at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Boston River and 1.17 for Defensor Sporting.

What was the final score of Boston River vs Defensor Sporting?

Boston River 2-2 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay - Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston River vs Defensor Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated an Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Boston River 31%, draw 27%, Defensor Sporting 43%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Defensor Sporting) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
URU More Uruguay - Premier League
6 Apr 2024
16:00 CA River Plate vs Montevideo Wanderers Analysis →
18:30 Racing Club Montevideo vs Miramar Misiones Analysis →
21:00 Danubio vs Progreso Analysis →