CA River Plate 3-1 Montevideo Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.57
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
35%
+8.5pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.4pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-4.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.4pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.13/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.95
-5% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +24%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA River Plate
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
08.02.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-4 HT 0-1 CA River Plate CA River Plate URUK
20.11.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 2-1 HT 0-1 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
02.07.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 4-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
16.04.2023 CA River Plate CA River Plate 1-2 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
31.07.2022 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-2 HT 1-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
07.02.2022 CA River Plate CA River Plate 1-1 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA River Plate
3-1
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CA River Plate vs Montevideo Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA River Plate saw off Montevideo Wanderers 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had CA River Plate as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CA River Plate had 57% of the ball to Montevideo Wanderers's 43%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montevideo Wanderers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CA River Plate and 1.67 for Montevideo Wanderers.

What was the final score of CA River Plate vs Montevideo Wanderers?

CA River Plate 3-1 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA River Plate vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split CA River Plate 44%, draw 26%, Montevideo Wanderers 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA River Plate) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CA River Plate) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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