Danubio 1-1 Progreso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.75
Over 2.5
39%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
45%
-9.4pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.9pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
53%
+7.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
47%
-7.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.8pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danubio EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Progreso EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +30%
1.13/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.17
-12% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danubio
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Progreso
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2022 Progreso Progreso 2-2 HT 2-0 Danubio Danubio URUK
15.02.2021 Danubio Danubio 0-1 HT 0-1 Progreso Progreso URU
22.08.2020 Progreso Progreso 1-0 HT 1-0 Danubio Danubio URU
19.10.2019 Progreso Progreso 2-1 HT 0-1 Danubio Danubio URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danubio
1-1
AWAY Progreso
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Danubio vs Progreso
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Danubio and Progreso shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Uruguay - Premier League on 6 Apr 2024. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score was close to even at 45%.

On the day, Danubio had 44% of the ball to Progreso's 56%, shots finished 7-13.

Across their last 4 meetings in our records, Progreso lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Danubio and 1.50 for Progreso.

What was the final score of Danubio vs Progreso?

Danubio 1-1 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danubio vs Progreso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Danubio 35%, draw 32%, Progreso 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Danubio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Danubio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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