Rampla Juniors 1-1 Cerro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rampla Juniors EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro EU Bookmakers 37%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.96/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.38
-21% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
324 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rampla Juniors
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cerro
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
28.07.2024 Cerro Cerro 4-1 HT 2-0 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
07.04.2024 Cerro Cerro 3-0 HT 3-0 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
22.10.2022 Cerro Cerro 0-0 HT 0-0 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU2
16.10.2022 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors 0-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Cerro URU2
03.09.2022 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors 2-2 HT 1-1 Cerro Cerro URU2
11.11.2021 Cerro Cerro 1-2 HT 1-1 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rampla Juniors
1-1
AWAY Cerro
65% Ball Possession 35%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Rampla Juniors vs Cerro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rampla Juniors and Cerro couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rampla Juniors had 65% of the ball to Cerro's 35%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rampla Juniors and 1.83 for Cerro.

What was the final score of Rampla Juniors vs Cerro?

Rampla Juniors 1-1 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rampla Juniors vs Cerro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rampla Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rampla Juniors 39%, draw 25%, Cerro 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rampla Juniors), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rampla Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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