Cerro 4-1 Rampla Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Rampla Juniors EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.16/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.75
-10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 181 · 63%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 4.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rampla Juniors
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
07.04.2024 Cerro Cerro 3-0 HT 3-0 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
22.10.2022 Cerro Cerro 0-0 HT 0-0 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU2
16.10.2022 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors 0-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Cerro URU2
03.09.2022 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors 2-2 HT 1-1 Cerro Cerro URU2
11.11.2021 Cerro Cerro 1-2 HT 1-1 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU2
16.11.2019 Cerro Cerro 0-1 HT 0-0 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro
4-1
AWAY Rampla Juniors
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cerro vs Rampla Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro ran out comfortable winners over Rampla Juniors 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Cerro made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cerro had 53% of the ball to Rampla Juniors's 47%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cerro and 0.83 for Rampla Juniors.

What was the final score of Cerro vs Rampla Juniors?

Cerro 4-1 Rampla Juniors in the Uruguay - Premier League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro vs Rampla Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cerro 39%, draw 30%, Rampla Juniors 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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