Nacional de Football 1-0 Boston River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.47
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-9.8pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.7pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+8.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston River EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
2.00/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.55
+17% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional de Football
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Boston River
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
05.06.2024 Boston River Boston River 1-3 HT 0-2 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
20.10.2023 Boston River Boston River 2-0 HT 1-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
12.03.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 3-1 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
15.09.2022 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-0 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
25.07.2022 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 2-0 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
11.04.2022 Boston River Boston River 0-6 HT 0-3 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional de Football
1-0
AWAY Boston River
46% Ball Possession 54%
20 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nacional de Football vs Boston River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional de Football nicked a narrow win over Boston River 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Nacional de Football had 46% of the ball to Boston River's 54%, shots finished 20-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Nacional de Football and 0.67 for Boston River.

What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs Boston River?

Nacional de Football 1-0 Boston River in the Uruguay - Premier League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs Boston River?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 54%, draw 24%, Boston River 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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