CA Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA Penarol v Deportivo Maldonado — Team-Based Signals
CA Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
CA Penarol
URU
2-1
HT 1-1
Deportivo Maldonado
URU
1-1
HT 0-0
CA Penarol
URU
1-1
HT 1-0
Deportivo Maldonado
URU
CA Penarol 2-0 Deportivo Maldonado — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol saw off Deportivo Maldonado 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, CA Penarol had 58% of the ball to Deportivo Maldonado's 42%, shots finished 12-1.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CA Penarol and 0.83 for Deportivo Maldonado.
What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado?
CA Penarol 2-0 Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay - Premier League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 56%, draw 24%, Deportivo Maldonado 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.