CA Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA Penarol v Deportivo Maldonado — Team-Based Signals
CA Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
CA Penarol
URU
2-1
HT 1-1
Deportivo Maldonado
URU
1-1
HT 0-0
CA Penarol
URU
1-1
HT 1-0
Deportivo Maldonado
URU
1-0
HT 1-0
CA Penarol
URU
CA Penarol 1-1 Deportivo Maldonado — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol and Deportivo Maldonado couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had CA Penarol at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, CA Penarol had 72% of the ball to Deportivo Maldonado's 28%, shots finished 22-4.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CA Penarol and 0.83 for Deportivo Maldonado.
What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado?
CA Penarol 1-1 Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay - Premier League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 59%, draw 23%, Deportivo Maldonado 18%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.