Boston River 2-0 Cerro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston River EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.43/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.23
+13% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston River
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Cerro
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
19.05.2024 Boston River Boston River 2-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
27.08.2023 Cerro Cerro 1-2 HT 0-1 Boston River Boston River URU
12.02.2023 Boston River Boston River 0-3 HT 0-2 Cerro Cerro URU
06.03.2021 Boston River Boston River 2-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
10.09.2020 Cerro Cerro 2-1 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston River
2-0
AWAY Cerro
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boston River vs Cerro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston River beat Cerro 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Boston River as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Boston River had 59% of the ball to Cerro's 41%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Boston River had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Boston River and 1.20 for Cerro.

What was the final score of Boston River vs Cerro?

Boston River 2-0 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston River vs Cerro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boston River win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Boston River 46%, draw 27%, Cerro 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boston River), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boston River) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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