Danubio vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Danubio v Progreso — Team-Based Signals
Danubio vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-0
Danubio
URUK
0-1
HT 0-1
Progreso
URU
1-0
HT 1-0
Danubio
URU
2-1
HT 0-1
Danubio
URU
Danubio 1-1 Progreso — Actual Match Statistics
Danubio and Progreso shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Danubio at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.
On the day, Danubio had 60% of the ball to Progreso's 40%, shots finished 15-7.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Progreso led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Danubio and 1.17 for Progreso.
What was the final score of Danubio vs Progreso?
Danubio 1-1 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Danubio vs Progreso?
Before kick-off our model rated a Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Danubio 46%, draw 29%, Progreso 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Danubio), BTTS No went the other way.