Juventud 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.96
No
46%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.3pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventud EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 34%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +0%
0.39/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.11
-68% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 20.0
Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventud
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
2 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
26.10.2019 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 3-0 HT 1-0 Juventud Juventud URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventud
1-0
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 1
5 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Juventud vs Montevideo Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventud edged past Montevideo Wanderers 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Juventud found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Juventud had 64% of the ball to Montevideo Wanderers's 36%, shots finished 10-1.

What was the final score of Juventud vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Juventud 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventud vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montevideo Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Juventud 35%, draw 29%, Montevideo Wanderers 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Montevideo Wanderers), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montevideo Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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