Cerro Largo 3-2 Miramar Misiones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
18%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.1pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.8pp
18%
Away Win
23%
-4.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.1pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.55/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.14
+11% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Largo
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Miramar Misiones
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
14.09.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-2 HT 1-1 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
27.07.2024 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
02.03.2024 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 1-2 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Largo
3-2
AWAY Miramar Misiones
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cerro Largo vs Miramar Misiones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Largo edged past Miramar Misiones 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cerro Largo as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cerro Largo had 53% of the ball to Miramar Misiones's 47%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cerro Largo and 1.00 for Miramar Misiones.

What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Miramar Misiones?

Cerro Largo 3-2 Miramar Misiones in the Uruguay - Premier League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs Miramar Misiones?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Largo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 49%, draw 32%, Miramar Misiones 18%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Largo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Largo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
URU More Uruguay - Premier League
23 Feb 2025
15:45 Danubio vs Progreso Analysis →
23:00 Juventud vs Montevideo Wanderers Analysis →