Cerro Largo 1-2 Miramar Misiones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.4pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.28/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.32
+1% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
288 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Largo
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Miramar Misiones
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
27.07.2024 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
02.03.2024 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 1-2 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
POST-MATCH Cerro Largo vs Miramar Misiones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miramar Misiones nicked a narrow win over Cerro Largo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cerro Largo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cerro Largo had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cerro Largo and 0.50 for Miramar Misiones.

What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Miramar Misiones?

Cerro Largo 1-2 Miramar Misiones in the Uruguay - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs Miramar Misiones?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Largo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 42%, draw 28%, Miramar Misiones 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Largo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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