Defensor Sporting 1-2 Racing Club Montevideo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.3pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 33%
-13% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.41/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.04
+18% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensor Sporting
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.06.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 HT 0-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
02.03.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-2 HT 1-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
11.11.2023 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 3-0 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
03.04.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
07.09.2022 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URUK
10.12.2021 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensor Sporting
1-2
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Defensor Sporting vs Racing Club Montevideo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club Montevideo edged past Defensor Sporting 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Racing Club Montevideo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Defensor Sporting had 55% of the ball to Racing Club Montevideo's 45%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Defensor Sporting and 0.17 for Racing Club Montevideo.

What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Defensor Sporting 1-2 Racing Club Montevideo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensor Sporting vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 37%, draw 29%, Racing Club Montevideo 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Defensor Sporting) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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