Progreso vs Cerro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Progreso v Cerro — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs Cerro Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Progreso 0-1 Cerro — Actual Match Statistics
Cerro found just enough to beat Progreso 1-0 on their travels.
We leaned Progreso at 44% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
The match data tells the story: possession split 53% to 47% in Progreso's favour, shots finished 11-10.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Progreso had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.40 a game for Progreso against 1.20 for Cerro.
Progreso vs Cerro Result & Final Score
Progreso 0 - 1 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Progreso vs Cerro Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Progreso win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Progreso 44%, draw 30%, Cerro 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Progreso), BTTS Yes went the other way.