Progreso vs Cerro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progreso v Cerro — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs Cerro Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Progreso
URU2
2-0
HT 1-0
Progreso
URU
2-0
HT 2-0
Cerro
URU
1-1
HT 1-1
Cerro
URU
Progreso 0-1 Cerro — Actual Match Statistics
Cerro edged past Progreso 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 33% / 27% — and on the day Cerro made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.
On the day, Progreso had 53% of the ball to Cerro's 47%, shots finished 11-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Progreso had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Progreso and 1.20 for Cerro.
What was the final score of Progreso vs Cerro?
Progreso 0-1 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progreso vs Cerro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Progreso win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Progreso 39%, draw 33%, Cerro 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Progreso) went the other way.