FC Cajamarca 1-1 Alianza Lima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 31 May 2026

📅31/05/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
50%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.62
Over 2.5
52%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
13%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
-1.9pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
49%
Away Win
44%
+5.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
58%
-9.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
42%
+9.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.0pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Lima EU Bookmakers 48%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +15%
0.89/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.76
+150% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +54%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
264 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
14.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
14.0 Crosses 16.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Cajamarca
1-1
AWAY Alianza Lima
0.63 xG 0.41
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
239 Passes 369
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 15
8 Crosses 11
POST-MATCH FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Cajamarca and Alianza Lima shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Alianza Lima at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, FC Cajamarca had 42% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 58%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.63 to 0.41.

What was the final score of FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima?

FC Cajamarca 1-1 Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 31/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Cajamarca 25%, draw 25%, Alianza Lima 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alianza Lima), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza Lima) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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