Melgar vs Alianza Atletico Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Melgar v Alianza Atletico — Team-Based Signals
Melgar vs Alianza Atletico Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 3-0
Alianza Atletico
PER
3-3
HT 0-2
Melgar
PER
Melgar 3-1 Alianza Atletico — Actual Match Statistics
Melgar saw off Alianza Atletico 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Melgar as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Melgar had 60% of the ball to Alianza Atletico's 40%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.56 to 0.19.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Melgar and 1.17 for Alianza Atletico.
What was the final score of Melgar vs Alianza Atletico?
Melgar 3-1 Alianza Atletico in the Peru - Premier League on 31/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Melgar vs Alianza Atletico?
Before kick-off our model rated a Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Melgar 60%, draw 20%, Alianza Atletico 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melgar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.