Alianza Atletico 0-0 Melgar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 1 Aug 2025

📅01/08/2025 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.8pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.0pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Melgar EU Bookmakers 32%
+12% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +21%
1.48/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.11
+41% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
245 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
14.3 Crosses 16.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Atletico
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Melgar
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.75 xG 1.55
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
174 Passes 322
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 19
8 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2025 Melgar Melgar 2-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
25.07.2024 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 3-1 HT 1-0 Melgar Melgar PER
10.02.2024 Melgar Melgar 1-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
15.09.2023 Melgar Melgar 4-0 HT 3-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
24.04.2023 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 3-3 HT 0-2 Melgar Melgar PER
30.10.2022 Melgar Melgar 0-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Atletico
0-0
AWAY Melgar
1.13 xG 0.85
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
242 Passes 225
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
34 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alianza Atletico vs Melgar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Atletico and Melgar fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Alianza Atletico at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Alianza Atletico had 50% of the ball to Melgar's 50%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.13 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alianza Atletico and 1.83 for Melgar.

What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs Melgar?

Alianza Atletico 0-0 Melgar in the Peru - Premier League on 01/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Atletico vs Melgar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alianza Atletico 46%, draw 24%, Melgar 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alianza Atletico) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza Atletico) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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