Cultural San 3-2 Comerciantes Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 1 Aug 2025

📅01/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
18%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+1.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
18%
Away Win
21%
-2.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.8pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural San EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.15/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.23
+1% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
21.1 Crosses 16.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cultural San
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.76 xG 1.15
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
263 Passes 250
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
22.02.2025 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 1-1 HT 0-0 Cultural San Cultural San PER
20.07.2024 Cultural San Cultural San 2-0 HT 0-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
05.02.2024 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 3-2 HT 0-2 Cultural San Cultural San PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural San
3-2
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
1.78 xG 1.63
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 0
341 Passes 177
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 15
42 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cultural San vs Comerciantes Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural San edged past Comerciantes Unidos 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cultural San as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Cultural San had 64% of the ball to Comerciantes Unidos's 36%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.78 to 1.63.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cultural San and 1.33 for Comerciantes Unidos.

What was the final score of Cultural San vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Cultural San 3-2 Comerciantes Unidos in the Peru - Premier League on 01/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural San vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cultural San win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Cultural San 54%, draw 28%, Comerciantes Unidos 18%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cultural San), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cultural San) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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